Nature Notes From Crater Lake
Volume 16, 1950
A Return of the Ice Ages
By Franklin C. Potter, Ranger-Naturalist

Mt. Mazama and Its Glaciers
from a Painting by Paul Rockwood
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In the flatlands of eastern North
America continental glaciation occurred on a large scale in recent
geological times. Snow fell in such quantities that summer melting
failed to keep pace with winter accumulation and eventually glaciers
resulted. Moving in all directions from their source in central Canada,
they invaded the area of what is now the United States as far southward
as the present location of the Ohio and Missouri Rivers. A time of
lighter snowfall or increased temperatures resulted in a wasting away of
the glaciers until they had entirely disappeared. This cycle was
repeated a number of times; the last of the four continental glaciers -
the Wisconsin - wasted away some 22,000 years ago.
In the higher mountains such as the
Cascades local valley glaciers existed rather than the ice sheets which
completely mantled the lower lands to the eastward. The evidence of
glacial drift separated by layers of volcanic rock indicate, however,
the same response to climatic variation. In the mountain areas where
valley glaciers still exist the present trend of the glaciers is toward
smaller size. Annual measurements in Glacier and Mount Rainier National
Parks demonstrate that summer wastage exceeds winter accumulation so
that year by year the glaciers decrease in size.
Supporting data of decreased
precipitation or increased evaporation is contributed by numerous lakes
in the western areas of the United States. During recent geological
times a larger Great Salt Lake covered much more area than its shrunken
remnant. At its maximum size, its predecessor, "Lake Bonneville," was
1000 feet deeper and overflowed its basin on the north into the Snake
River: it was undoubtedly a fresh water lake. At the same time Lake
Lahontan in Nevada covered a large area; its existing remnants are
Walker, Pyramid, and Humboldt Lakes. Death Valley also supported a lake
in recent geological times.
Accurate weather records have been kept
for such a short time that they can not reveal long time trends. Short
cycles of temperature and precipitation, influenced no doubt by
sun-spots, are known, but we must turn to the geological record for the
longer trends. If the present trend continues, we should expect our
valley glaciers to continue to decrease in size until most of them have
disappeared. Likewise the semiarid end arid portions of the western
United States would increase in size and aridity. How far this cycle
will continue is, of course, problematical. Higher areas such as the
Cascades should continue to receive more precipitation than the lowlands
even though there might be some decrease of winter snowfall. At least a
few of the mountain glaciers should persist. The prediction of the
future is further complicated by the fact that transition from the
culmination of one age to the next is not constant but has many
irregular variations.
Although 22,000 years seems a long
time, in the geological story it is but a moment. The climate seems to
be becoming warmer and drier, but may not there be a reversal toward
colder and wetter conditions again sometime in the future? Each of the
intervals between the ice sheets of the Ice Age was greatly longer than
the 22,000 years that have elapsed since the Wisconsin sheet withdrew.
From interglacial deposits in the Don River valley near Toronto fossils
of both plants and animals that now are found no farther north than
Missouri and Kentucky have been found. The climate of the northern
United States and southern Canada may well continue to ameliorate for
thousands of years to come.
Before we postulate a possible
continuance of the Ice Age with the formation of another continental
glacier in the East and numerous valley glaciers in the mountains, it is
well to inquire into the causes of Ice Ages. Each of the times of
extensive glaciation in the geological past has coincided with a time of
great mountain building although the exact mechanics and the explanation
of the four separate ice advances of the Pleistocene Ice Age are
unknown.
One of the great mountain-making epochs
of the earth is the present. Perhaps the lands of the earth still are
high enough for another reoccurrence of glaciation on a large scale. If
so, however, our climate undoubtedly will continue to get warmer, and in
some areas drier, for some tens of thousands of years before a reversal
of conditions occurs. And even if a fifth stage does occur, the Crater
Lake National Park area and Mount Mazama will not be affected as much as
they were in the past. Mount Mazama was high enough to support glaciers
comparable to those of Mount Rainier of today. But now Mount Mazama has
lost its higher elevations and the return of glacial conditions could
produce no more than a few small glaciers. Mount Scott supported a large
enough glacier to excavate the northern segment of the mountain and with
a return of extensive glaciation it undoubted!, would support another.
The only other possibilities seem to be for small, isolated glaciers
that would occupy very limited areas since most regions in the Cascades
with elevations no higher than those in the park did not support
glaciers in the past and there is no reason to suppose that they would
in the future.